{"id":20157,"date":"2019-01-04T17:27:01","date_gmt":"2019-01-04T14:27:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialcafe.com\/blog\/?p=20157"},"modified":"2025-07-17T12:20:51","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T09:20:51","slug":"effect-driverless-cars-real-estate-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialcafe.com\/blog\/effect-driverless-cars-real-estate-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"The Effect of Driverless Cars on the Real Estate Industry"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Location, location, location is a well-established mantra when it comes to real estate prices. But the effect of driverless cars on the real estate industry could overturn this conventional wisdom.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>What are driverless cars?<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Driverless cars allow you to carry out other activities as you travel to your destination. The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.machinedesign.com\/blog\/sae-s-6-levels-self-driving-cars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> ranks driverless cars into six different levels. Level 0 has zero automation, and Level 5 represents full vehicle automation. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The driverless cars we are concerned with fall into Levels 4 and 5. Level 4 requires no human intervention to operate the vehicle. However, the vehicle relies on maps to navigate the roadways. If a map is not available, a human driver must take over control of the vehicle. Level 5 driverless cars require no human intervention at all.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>When can I use a driverless car?<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tech giants and car manufacturers currently have a range of <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">driverless car prototypes<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> under development. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.caranddriver.com\/news\/ford-promises-fully-autonomous-cars-by-2021\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ford expects<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> its autonomous vehicles to be on the market by 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ride-hailing services are <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2017\/11\/07\/google-waymo-phoenix-self-driving-car\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">testing self-driving cars<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in some markets. For example, Google subsidiary Waymo <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/life-style\/gadgets-and-tech\/news\/waymo-self-driving-taxi-service-google-alphabet-uber-robotaxi-launch-us-a8669466.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">recently introduced<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a small fleet of autonomous ride-hailing vehicles in Arizona. The project currently includes human drivers, just in case the vehicle malfunctions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cOver time, we hope to make Waymo One available to even more members of the public. Self-driving technology is new to many, so we\u2019re proceeding carefully,\u201d Waymo\u2019s CEO John Krafcik, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/waymo\/waymo-one-the-next-step-on-our-self-driving-journey-6d0c075b0e9b\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">wrote in a blog post<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> following the launch of the service.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>What impact will driverless cars have?<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The impact of driverless cars on our daily journeys cannot be overstated. \u201c[Driverless cars] are expected to significantly reduce travel cost, time and congestion, while increasing safety,\u201d according to <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a recent KPMG report<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> on the impact of autonomous vehicles on the public transport sector. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cCost-efficient self-driving cars could change commuter preferences away from conventional public transport,\u201d the report added.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Driverless cars could also negate the need to buy a car altogether. \u201cA growing number of tech analysts are predicting that in less than 20 years we&#8217;ll all have stopped owning cars, and, what&#8217;s more, the internal combustion engine will have been consigned to the dustbin of history,\u201d according to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-45786690\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a recent BBC report<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>Changes to the landscape<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The transport and property industries have long-established ties. Mobilization allows individuals to live further away from their places of work, but the resulting commute is an obvious downside for workers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, driverless cars could turn the commute into a productive part of the day. \u201cDepending on the comfort level of the vehicle, the car could then become a place to work or even to sleep. Arguably this would reduce the perceived travel time to almost zero,\u201d according to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www2.deloitte.com\/content\/dam\/Deloitte\/lu\/Documents\/realestate\/reflexions\/lu_shared-self-driving-cars-real-estate.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a recent report from Deloitte<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Workers may start to invest this commute time in traveling long distances. The number of shared and self-driving cars will consequently increase the number of vehicle movements.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But this doesn\u2019t mean our roads will become more congested. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/phys.org\/news\/2018-02-autonomous-vehicles-traffic.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Research reveals<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> autonomous vehicles will improve traffic flow and reduce fuel consumption by up to 40 per cent. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, properties that command high values due to their proximity to transit hubs could suddenly find themselves losing their edge.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>Changing city layouts and policies<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">City street layouts will evolve as autonomous vehicles move into the mainstream. <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/worldif.economist.com\/article\/12123\/horseless-driverless\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some experts<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> have likened the coming changes to our infrastructure to the replacement of horse-drawn carriages with motorized vehicles.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Parking lots will be the first to feel the impact of driverless cars. The need for parking space will diminish as people rideshare and driving practices are optimized. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">McKinsey estimates that driverless vehicles could free up <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/industries\/automotive-and-assembly\/our-insights\/ten-ways-autonomous-driving-could-redefine-the-automotive-world\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">more than 61 billion square feet<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of parking real estate, for example. Further <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.itf-oecd.org\/sites\/default\/files\/docs\/15cpb_self-drivingcars.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">analysis by OECD<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> suggests driverless vehicles will remove the need for on-street parking.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The decreasing demand for parking has interesting policy implications, according to the Deloitte report <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Shared and self-driving cars: A game changer in real estate and area development?<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> The report states: \u201cMunicipalities generally require real estate developers to provide for a certain level of parking capacity, depending on the size of the building that is being developed. This requirement can significantly diminish a developer\u2019s return on investment, especially when the parking capacity needs to be realized underground.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cAs an increasing share of inhabitants of large cities relies on public transport, cycling and ride sharing, municipalities have started to rethink their policies.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, while buildings will no longer have to worry about integrating expansive parking lots, developers will need to implement dedicated drop-off areas for autonomous vehicles. You\u2019ll also see <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/self-driving-cars-effect-on-housing-market-2017-9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">fewer gas stations<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and dealerships, and these existing spaces could be converted into additional residential or commercial space.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>What will happen to real estate prices?<\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If perceived travel times are reduced thanks to driverless vehicles, will we see advancing surburbanization as people opt to live further out of our cities and industrial hubs? Does this mean the price gap between rural and urban dwellings will decrease?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Deloitte report warns the CRE industry not to get too carried away. It states: \u201cLet\u2019s not forget that experts have underestimated the role of location before. Only 15 years ago, leading economists and urban planners predicted that the internet would revolutionize area development and real estate prices.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the rise of the internet and flexible working practices has not had a significant impact on the CRE industry. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The report notes: \u201cThe low prices of connecting over long distances accelerated globalization. Yet, instead of reducing the need to travel, the importance of location has only grown bigger because decision-making and innovation still largely takes place with face-to-face communication.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cAs autonomous cars, unlike the internet, would enable people to attend meetings in person, while largely reducing the perceived travel costs, a flattening effect on real estate prices should not be stricken,\u201d Deloitte concludes.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Location, location, location is a well-established mantra when it comes to real estate prices. But the effect of driverless cars on the real estate industry could overturn this conventional wisdom. What are driverless cars? Driverless cars allow you to carry out other activities as you travel to your destination. The Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE)&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":202,"featured_media":20276,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[37,2547],"tags":[2725],"class_list":["post-20157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commercial-real-estate-news","category-resources","tag-cre-resources","wpautop"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v24.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ 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